As of: February 2007

Lead Study 2007 "Update and reassessment of the "Strategy to increase the use of renewable energies" up until the years 2020 and 2030, plus an outlook to 2050"

The LEAD SCENARIO 2006 presented here is a goal-oriented scenario which describes essentially how the Federal Government's aim of reducing climate gas emissions to around 20% of the 1990 level in Germany by 2050 can essentially be implemented. Over and above the various interim goals, this long-term target will be achieved (in all industrialised countries), if CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere do not exceed the critical value of approx. 450 ppm (corresponding to a rise in mean global temperature of less than 2°C compared to the 1980-99 period). Nuclear power is not to be used in the pursuit of this goal. Forerunners of this scenario have already been elaborated in earlier studies for the BMU and UBA [UBA 2000; BMU 2004; BMU 2005].

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Summary